2007 Season Predictions
By John Morgan • Commentary
http://www.fieldgulls.com/
This is all for fun. I did spend a little time trying to figure out my final results, including looking into strength of schedule, home games versus road, overall team age, DVOA and Pythagorean wins, but, ultimately, this is done out of fun and shouldn't be taken too seriously.
AFC East
New England 12-4
NY Jets 9-7
Buffalo Bills 6-10
Miami Dolphins 2-14
The Patriots will be one of the best teams in football, once again, in 2007, but they face an insanely tough schedule. Yes, I think the Dolphins will really be that bad this year.
I think this is going to be a tough division to figure out. I know for sure New England will be the tops of the league. I think Buffalo might get 8-8 the season. New York Jets at 7-9 and the Dolphins at least win 5 games.
AFC North
Cincinnati Bengals 13-3
Pittsburgh Steelers 11-5
Cleveland Browns 6-10
Baltimore Ravens 5-11
The Steelers, that good? Pittsburgh was the eleventh ranked defense on first downs, the 3rd ranked defense on 2nd downs but the 24 ranked defense on 3rd downs. That implies that in some part the Steelers were unlucky on third downs, that will not likely persist. I think Joey Porter's loss hurts more than many who hate Porter think it will, but that Roethlisberger bounces back and the (hated) Steelers make the playoffs. Oh, and everything falls apart for the Ravens, including a season ending injury for McNair.
Would someone please explain the theory of evolution of where this so called media specialist believes in the Bengals going 13 wins??? Ummmm clearly this individual does not seem to see the whole picture as in the defense. I don't think that offense is all that explosive. Our offensive line is a whole lot better off than Cincinnati. I say the Steelers at 12-4 and the Bengals at 11-5. Baltimore will clearly hit the .500 mark at 8-8. Cleveland, this will be the seasonal death of Romeo Crennel, 3-13.
AFC South
Indianapolis Colts 13-3
Jacksonville Jaguars 11-5
Houston Texans 7-9
Tennessee Titans 4-12
I have an issue here. Indianapolis is not the same team as the Super Bowl Champions. I figure it will be a dogfight with the Jaguars, but I don't see the Colts winning 13 games, maybe 11 games with the tiebreaker over the Jaguars. It will be two 11-5 finish follow by the predictions stated for the Texans and the Titans.
AFC West
San Diego 13-3
Oakland Raiders 7-9
Denver Broncos 7-9
Kansas City Chiefs 5-11
San Diego roles over a weak division; JeMarcus Russell seems like the second coming after the Raiders have suffered the likes of Aaron Brooks and Andrew Walter; Jay Cutler's cockiness costs the Broncos a couple close games and the Chiefs offense completely collapses.
I agree with this with the exception of the Broncos record, I believe it will be 9-7 instead of 7-9.
NFC East
Philadelphia Eagles 12-4
Dallas Cowboys 10-6
Washington Redskins 8-8
New York Giants 6-10
The Uglies are the most complete team in the conference. I like the Cowboys' talent, but Wade Phillips is a terrible coach and the teams' ouster in the first round (in decisive fashion) will signal his firing. Redskins put together a promising second half run, aided, in no small part, by a weak schedule. How good was Tiki Barber? How much of a drop-off is it from Barber to Jacobs? I guess my prediction tells you what I think. The Giants win an ugly contest in London over a terrible Dolphins team.
This is about right.
NFC North
Green Bay Packers 10-6
Detroit Lions 7-9
Chicago Bears 7-9
Minnesota 1-15
The Pack fatten up on a weak division. The Lions show some life with a big play offense, but the o-line betrays Martz and Kitna gets battered like a Chinese crast test dummy. Crappy Offense + Disgruntled Defense = A long winter in Soldier Field. Minnesota really is this bad, the one win comes against a reeling Bears team in week 15.
This has travesty written all over it. The Packers will NOT win this division. The Bears will reload and win easily at 11-5. Detroit, I am going to give them some bounce. 9-7 is a real possiblity. Minnesota is better than Green Bay. Minnesota for 7-9 and Green Bay for 5-11.
NFC South
New Orleans Saints 11-5
Caroline Panthers 9-7
Atlanta Falcons 8-8
Tampa Bay 0-16
Jammal Brown is one of, if not the, best young tackles in the NFL. I would rate Carolina higher if David Carr were starting. The Falcons will once again be mediocre. I know it looks absurd, but I don't see a game on their schedule I think the Bucs will win.
I agree with the Saints. Panthers might be the better team than most folks would say, they could compete with the Saints for the divisional title. The Falcons are going to be an iffy depending on the fiasco of Vick. Tampa Bay is going to be better than the record they put here 3-13 is better.
NFC West
Seattle Seahawks 12-4
St. Louis Rams 10-6
Arizona Cardinals 7-9
San Francisco 49ers 7-9
Looking over some of the other divisions, I have grown more optimistic about the Hawks and Rams. I know the 49ers are a vogue pick right about now, but when you consider they played like a 5-11 team last year, without any major injuries, they would have to improve quite a bit to even be 7-9.
Seahawks at 12-4? I don't think so. The Rams are explosive to me. I can see them finish at 12-4 and the Hawks at 10-6. Cardinals and the 49ers battling it out, the Cards are in the basement as Whisenhunt first season will be a tough one at 5-11 and the Niners at 6-10.
MVP: Steven Jackson, 2nd Peyton Manning, 3rd Matt Hasselbeck ( Jackson MVP, yes, I think Roethlisberger is going to make a strong showing in this race)
Defensive Player of the Year: Julius Peppers, 2nd A.J. Hawk, 3rd Madieu Williams (I am not so sure on this one)
Offensive ROY: Brandon Jackson, 2nd Anthony Gonzalez, 3rd Zach Miller
(I am going to give this to Calvin Johnson)
Defensive ROY: Laron Landry, 2nd Brandon Merriweather, 3rd Justin Harrell
(I am going to give this to our main man, Timmons)
AFC WC
NE over NY (PITT over JAX)
Pitt over SD (INDY over CIN)
NFC WC
Stl over Dal (CHI over DAL)
GB over NO ( NO over CAR)
AFC Div
NE over Ind (PITT over SD)
Cin over Pitt (NE over INDY)
NFC Div
Sea over GB (PHIL over CHI)
Phi over Stl ( NO over STL)
AFC Champ
Cin over NE (PITT over NE)
NFC Champ
Sea over Phi (PHIL over NO)
Super Bowl
Sea over Cin (PITT over PHIL) Battle of PA
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