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Thread: A Quantitative Approach to Steelers Analysis

          
   
   
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  1. #1
    Waterboy
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    A Quantitative Approach to Steelers Analysis

    All, my partner and I feel there is a dearth of quantitative analysis being applied to the Steelers. Thus, we've founded the site: http://www.steelcitystats.com.

    I encourage you to check out our first article, entitled "Why did the Steelers Miss the 2013 Playoffs?"

    We use basic statistical analysis and some intermediate methods to obtain which variables (e.g., passer rating) are important to predicting why teams have won or lost games. No data analysis can provide a 100% accurate conclusion, but I think you'll see that the data speaks for itself.

    If you like it, please forward it to friends and family. If you don't like it, please let us know what we can do better.

  2. #2
    Chuck's Place ChucktownSteeler's Avatar
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    Dr. Demming would be proud.

  3. #3
    Assistant Coach coldrolled's Avatar
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    Teams have to protect their quarterbacks and keep them upright. They are the single biggest factor in the choice of whether or not a team locks up a win, gives a game away, or relies on secondary variables and the Football Gods to determine the outcome


    Correct..... Draft Warmack or Fisher... #1

  4. #4
    Assistant Coach
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    Thank you for the insight and effort. Job well done! I;ve been making the same argument without nearly the level of detail...

    Don't expect much support around here... zealots are the majority.
    Last edited by NeilPatrickBanana; 01-23-2013 at 12:18 AM.
    My Steeler Mock Draft
    1. Darqueze Dennard, CB Mich St
    2. Allen Robinson, WR Penn St
    3. Carl Bradford, OLB Arizona St
    4. Martavis Bryant, WR Clemson
    5a. Brent Urban, DE Virginia
    5b. Kevin Pierre-Louis, ILB Boston College
    6. Dontae Johnson, CB North Carolina St
    7. Zach Kerr, NT Delaware

  5. #5
    Veteran jpele's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by coldrolled View Post
    Teams have to protect their quarterbacks and keep them upright. They are the single biggest factor in the choice of whether or not a team locks up a win, gives a game away, or relies on secondary variables and the Football Gods to determine the outcome


    Correct..... Draft Warmack or Fisher... #1
    Green Bay 11-5...Aaron Rodgers sacked 51 times.
    It's no fun when the rabbit has the gun

  6. #6
    Assistant Coach
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    bump
    My Steeler Mock Draft
    1. Darqueze Dennard, CB Mich St
    2. Allen Robinson, WR Penn St
    3. Carl Bradford, OLB Arizona St
    4. Martavis Bryant, WR Clemson
    5a. Brent Urban, DE Virginia
    5b. Kevin Pierre-Louis, ILB Boston College
    6. Dontae Johnson, CB North Carolina St
    7. Zach Kerr, NT Delaware

  7. #7
    Draft Pick
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    Quote Originally Posted by jpele View Post
    Green Bay 11-5...Aaron Rodgers sacked 51 times.
    True, but they also stretch the field unlike the 2012 Steelers.

  8. #8
    Waterboy
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    Strummerfan and jpele have both provided true statements. To clarify (jpele), when we talk in our article about keeping the QB "upright", we really mean "healthy" and in the game. Backup QBs (that don't wear New England jerseys) are the ones bringing down the NFL average QB rating. Also, surprisingly (at least to us it was), sacks are not statistically significant to wins. They aren't included in passer rating, so we tried including them in a model, but they failed hypothesis testing...thus were not significant.

    Pittsburgh doesn't have enough weapons on offense right now (see paragraph in the article about the poor YAC in the Burgh) to realistically expect Leftwich or Batch to win games. Batch pulled off a miracle against BAL and the Football Gods smiled upon him that day. But, to expect that to be sustainable is to expect it to snow every day in all places except your driveway.

  9. #9
    Assistant Coach
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    i'd like to see the same data laid out using QBR instead of passer rating.
    My Steeler Mock Draft
    1. Darqueze Dennard, CB Mich St
    2. Allen Robinson, WR Penn St
    3. Carl Bradford, OLB Arizona St
    4. Martavis Bryant, WR Clemson
    5a. Brent Urban, DE Virginia
    5b. Kevin Pierre-Louis, ILB Boston College
    6. Dontae Johnson, CB North Carolina St
    7. Zach Kerr, NT Delaware

  10. #10
    Starter SuperSteelers's Avatar
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    I have two eyes and don't need stats to tell me the Steelers are just plain awful.

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