View Full Version : Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 Picks

09-15-2011, 05:46 PM
Crystal Ball


By DonCanabis/TheDon


*** Mlmpetert from thewarpath.net ***
*** Sparty from detroitlionsforum.com ***

Ok week 1 is done. We had a few surprises none bigger in my mind that the Pittsburgh loss against Baltimore. Not only because is the first time Flacco beats Pittsburgh with Ben as QB but the way they won. These games usually ended close with low scores and this time it was completely one sided.

Quick Hits

It was a good start of the season for my 2011 surprise team with al winning and going 3-0. Also my upset pick won and looked good doing so. Jacksonville was a nice surprise also after dropping Gerard midway into last week I expected them to look more, like the Colts did against the Texans.

A huge surprise last week was how well Cam Newton did against the Cardinals. They still lost but were close the kid threw for 422 yards in his first game and look good doing it . It doesnít matter if the Cardinals secondary isnít what it used to and is young for a rookie QB to come out and perform like that, to use his arm and not so much his legs pretty great debut.

I went 9-7 against the spread last week and won over $500.00 overall a great week for me to start the season. Over all for the season Iím at 54% not the place I like to be but got hurt with all the Over scores of last week and tied in 14th place in the league definitely not the place I like to be.

So much for the new Kickoff rule hurting the return game, I still donít like it, too many touchbacks especially in the Oak-Den game I donít seem to recall if one was taken out. But still with 8 kicks return for touchdowns last week itís hard to complain that it has hurt the return game. Maybe we will keep seeing this or maybe it had to do more with the lockout and Special teams not being ready.

The Goat of the Week award has to go to Tony Romo hands down. He played a perfect game for 3qts had a 14 point lead and well we all saw the meltdown. To let a win slip through your fingers so easily it was hard to watch.

On to the games

Kansas City at Detroit -8.5 Ovr/Und 38.5
Like I said last week the chiefs lost apparently more than an Offensive Coordinator with Weiss leaving this team just look unprepared, canít game plan or find the opposition weaknesses. That Oline is hurt, theyíre playing on the road against a team feeling motivated that this is their year. The chiefs lost their best defensive weapon. I donít have an issue picking whoís going to win this game what I donít know is can I count on Kansas City to score more than 7 points to take the Ovr. Right now Suh is getting doubled and even tripled teamed and this is opening up space to the rest of the team but if he canít beat those coverageís which I saw him having trouble with last week. Teams will eventually adjust.

Straight: DET
Spread: DET
Ovr/Und: OVR

Oakland at Buffalo -4 Ovr/Und 42.5

Both teams looked good last week playing on very hostile environments. They both stack up really well against each other. They have good aggressive defense run the ball well but I have to give the edge to buffalo with the QB and WR add to that that they play at home. Take Buf to win but not cover.
Straight: Buf
Spread: Oak
Ovr/Und: OVR

Baltimore at Tennessee 6 Ovr/Und 37.5
Last Week the Tennessee defense couldnít stop a small built like a horse HB, say welcome his twin brother. I believe Hasselbeck will play better as the season goes on but Baltimore is an aggressive defense and Matt still doesnít have a good rap with his teammates. Take the ravens on this one.
Straight: BAL
Spread: BAL
Ovr/Und: OVR

Jacksonville at New York Jets -9.5 Ovr/Und 38
The Jets had trouble last week against Dallas and it wasnít until the 4th quarter when Dallas lost all their starting CBís and Dez Bryant got hurt that they started moving the ball and taking control of the game. Sanchez was off for most of the night and continues making bad mistakes. Jacksonville played really well despite all the changes and drama I like their defense and running game if it doesnít have to come down to McCown to win the games late, Jack del Rioís move might not turn out that bad after all.
Straight: NYJ
Spread: JAC
Ovr/Und: UND

Cleveland at Indianapolis 2 Ovr/Und 38
Did anyone expected to leave through the day when Cleveland was once again the favorite against the Colts? This is the game that is giving me more trouble than all. It completely looks like a trap game. Both teams looked bad last week but Indianapolis completely got dominated. Cleveland had ups and downs but at the end suffered a complete meltdown. If I go with logic the browns would be the easy answer. The Colts lost their HOF QB probably for the season last week and with that almost everyoneís playoffs dreams. But if I go with my gut the Colts have a lot of proud veterans that got pushed around last week and want the next team that it faces pay. Going with the gut
Straight: IND
Spread: IND
Ovr/Und: UND

Arizona at Washington -4 Ovr/Und 44
Washington surprised me last week. I didnít expect them to do to good this year but they looked solid in both areas of the field. Rex played good overall but if they canít give him solid protection we will see feet happy Rex. Many expected Kolb being the biggest problem for Arizona but itís starting to look like the defense could be their Achilles heel. Washington has more weapons than Carolina and has a more solid defense.
Straight: Was
Spread: Was
Ovr/Und: OVR

Tampa Bay at Minnesota -3 Ovr/Und 40.5
In the same week that we saw a Rookie QB and Chad Henne throw for over 400 plus yards, McNabb had 39. Tampa Bay will play better than last week and if they can find were Blount was hiding last week they should take this win. Tampa has a young fast defense perfect for playing on turf (except barber) if they can stop AP they shouldnít have much trouble.

Green Bay at Carolina 10 Ovr/Und 46
Sorry Iím not ready to crown Newton as he has arrived. He played really good in week 1 against a bad defense; letís see how he looks playing against the Super Bowl Champs. After winning a close game and the defense holding on when it matter the most Green Bay looks ready to make another push, Aaron Rodgers looked great last week and made a lot of FF players happy.
Straight: GB
Spread: GB
Ovr/Und: Ovr

Chicago at New Orleans -6.5 Ovr/Und 47
Last week Paytonís gambles didnít payoff. Itís funny how the media can call the same guy genius when he pulls an onside kick in the Super Bowl but, rip him off when he goes for it in 4th in short on FG game and didnít get it. I wonder if sometimes the media or so call analyst watches the games or just the highlights. Payton went for it because he couldnít trust his defense Rodgers was simply ripping it apart if they went for a FG and Green Bay scored again they wouldnít be able to recover from that. They call I didnít like was the last play of the game he helped Green Bayís defense by stacking up and running through the middle when they hadnít been able to run the ball all day. If you want to run in that spot and play spread the defense give your HB a chance.
Cutler looked good last week but heís still getting hit way too much, Forte itís really playing for that contract and it looks like the Cowboys trio are 1 and done. New Orleans at home after a tough loss and a must win game. Take the home team.

Straight: NO
Spread: NO
Ovr/Und: Ovr

Seattle at Pittsburgh -14.5 Ovr/Und 40
I hate 3 score Spread lines in the NFL. Even if you know the other team is awful, one return kick, block punt or miss tackle and screws those lines. Pittsburgh didnít look closed to the AFC champion; its funny how last year that defense gets praised but six months later theyíre suddenly too old. The reality the Steelers have had Baltimoreís number for so long that just that game meant more to them. I guess Seattle fans wonít shout off to me again for calling out on T. Jackson. Winning by 15 is hard to do in the NFL but we saw 3 teams do it last week and one of them played Seattle.
Straight: PIT
Spread: PIT
Ovr/Und: OVR

Dallas at San Francisco 3 Ovr/Und 42.5

Dallas had a complete 4th qt meltdown last week in a game that they had no business winning but should have won. The losses in the secondary became too troublesome and the lack of depth at all positions has always been the Cowboys biggest problem. One sight of comfort is that the team looked prepared and focused in the most hostile environment they could face, they managed to stop the Jets biggest weapon the run and let Sanchez beat them. They will repeat the same formula this week. I expect Dallas to finish what they couldnít last week.

Straight: DAL
Spread: DAL
Ovr/Und: OVR

San Diego at New England -7 Ovr/Und 52.5

San Diego found a way to win last week but they need to use all their weapons this time. If you have Tolbert in your fantasy team I would sit him this week expect Belichick to game plan for that guy. San Diegoís defense lost a key guy last week and didnít look great in the first place. I expect NE to win this game but keep it close.
Straight: NE
Spread: SD
Ovr/Und: UND

Cincinnati at Denver : -4.5 Ovr/Und 40
Both teams looked sloppy in their debuts. Itís weird to think that the best thing that could happen to the Bengals was Dalton getting hurt. He wasnít awful but he got stuck and couldnít move the ball. Denverís defense is really hurt and my dynamic duo of Miller and Dumervil didnít last 1 week. I canít see Denver losing back 2 back at home especially against the Bengals take the home team.
Straight: DEN
Spread: DEN
Ovr/Und: Ovr

Houston at Miami : 3 Ovr/Und 47
Houston played like a contender for three quarters then they took their feet from the gas pedal. That has been their trouble for many years and even if they had a huge lead I didnít like what I saw there if you let a team pull up when theyíre down you might not recover. Miami looked good, way better than I expected and played head to head against the Patriots. Itís tough to believe Miami will start 0-2 again at home but this isnít a great matchup for them.
Straight: HOU
Spread: HOU
Ovr/Und: OVR

Philadelphia at Atlanta : 2.5 Ovr/Und 50
One game and the dream team talk started again even though I saw other teams play way better against tougher competition. Still it looks like Michael Vick will get praised even when he poops. The Falcons are almost unbeatable at home and they need this win badly. Atlanta will be able to put pressure on Vick which usually turn out in 2 ways big run or fumble. Take Atlanta to kill the dream at least for 1 week.

Straight: ATL
Spread: ATL
Ovr/Und: Ovr

St. Louis at New York Giants : -4.5 Ovr/Und 43.5
Both teams are hurt and lost key players. The difference the Rams lost their top HB and they have a banged up QB. NY might not have corners but they do have a pass rush. Tuck come back this week and I expect them to be on Samís face all day. Take the Giants at home
Straight: NYG
Spread: NYG
Ovr/Und: UND

The Hot Picks
Record 4-2 66%

Baltimore (league)
Dallas (league)
New Orleans (league)
Green Bay

Donís Prediction League Leaders

JohnJet 34 -14 71% [forums.newyorkjets.com]
BrrsColts 33-15 69% [coltfreaks.com]
Memnoch 32 -16 67% [blackandgold.com]

14.- TheDon 26-22 54%

09-18-2011, 10:27 AM
Check out NFL Scout Jayson Braddock and his take on todayís games (http://thexlog.com/201109180711/xtra-point-football/nfl/nfl-game-previews-week-2-easy-like-sunday-morning/). Some good stuff here...

09-20-2011, 04:24 AM
Why I gave u 14-2 winners should had been 15-1 but took the risk and went with the surprise pick and took Indy. Nobody went 16-0 nobody picked Ten over BAL

BlacknGold Bleeder
09-20-2011, 07:22 AM
I took Ten over the ratbirds...they put so much emphasis on beating the STEELERS that they was going to be a let down...one game doesn't make a season...

09-20-2011, 12:18 PM
I took Ten over the ratbirds...they put so much emphasis on beating the STEELERS that they was going to be a let down...one game doesn't make a season...

really? haven't looked at last week's picks yet from every member but did you picked them to win the game or just cover the spread?

BlacknGold Bleeder
09-20-2011, 11:04 PM
Picked them to win game ,forget spread but believe Ten was getting points so then it would go hand in hand